Hurricane Milton is set to make landfall along Florida’s Gulf coast, having been fueled by unusually warm waters in the Gulf of Mexico. This has led to an increased likelihood of rapid intensification for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic Ocean, as shown by a recent study. Examples of recent hurricanes that have undergone rapid intensification include Harvey in 2017, Laura in 2020, and Ida in 2021.
Despite being a well-documented process, forecasting rapid intensification remains a challenge for scientists. Milton is expected to weaken slightly before landfall, but the storm is still anticipated to have a severe impact. A storm surge watch is in effect for Florida’s Gulf Coast, with potentially life-threatening storm surge up to 12 feet forecasted. Flood watches are also in place for as many as 15 million people across the state.
In conclusion, Hurricane Milton’s development, driven by abnormally warm Gulf waters, highlights the increasing frequency of rapid intensification in recent years. While scientists understand the factors that contribute to this phenomenon, accurately forecasting when and how it will occur remains a complex and intricate challenge. The impending impact of Milton underscores the need for robust preparation and response strategies to mitigate potential risks and protect vulnerable communities along the Gulf coast.
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